{"id":10885,"date":"2026-03-06T02:24:16","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T18:24:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/cn\/agile-estimation-story-points-velocity\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T02:24:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T18:24:16","slug":"agile-estimation-story-points-velocity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/cn\/agile-estimation-story-points-velocity\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u654f\u6377\u4f30\u7b97\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u65e0\u8bba\u56e2\u961f\u662f\u5728\u5f00\u53d1\u4ea7\u54c1\u8fd8\u662f\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u56de\u7b54\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u4f55\u65f6\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\uff1f\u201d\u6216\u201c\u5728\u67d0\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u70b9\u524d\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u4ea4\u4ed8\u5230\u4ec0\u4e48\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff1f\u201d\u5c31\u50cf\u5728\u4f20\u7edf\u5f00\u53d1\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e2d\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u542f\u52a8\u9879\u76ee\u4e4b\u524d\u9700\u8981\u4f30\u7b97\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u654f\u6377\u4f30\u7b97\u5177\u6709\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u7279\u70b9\uff1a<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u56e2\u961f\u534f\u4f5c\u4f30\u7b97<\/h2>\n

\u5728Scrum<\/a>\u5f00\u53d1\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u5171\u540c\u627f\u62c5\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c\u5e76\u5171\u540c\u52aa\u529b\u5b9e\u73b0\u6bcf\u4e2aSprint<\/a>\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u654f\u6377\u56e2\u961f\u4f7f\u7528\u534f\u4f5c\u4f30\u7b97\u6280\u672f\u6765\u4f30\u7b97\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3002\u534f\u4f5c\u4f30\u7b97\u901a\u5e38\u4f7f\u7528\u8ba1\u5212\u6251\u514b\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u96c6\u4f53\u53c2\u4e0e\u4f30\u7b97\u6e38\u620f\u3002\u8ba1\u5212\u6251\u514b\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u654f\u6377\u5f00\u53d1\u4e2d\u4f30\u7b97\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u6700\u6709\u6548\u4e14\u6700\u5177\u53c2\u4e0e\u6027\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u654f\u6377<\/a>\u5f00\u53d1\u3002\u5b83\u5305\u542b\u4e00\u7ec4\u7c7b\u4f3c\u6590\u6ce2\u90a3\u5951\u7684\u6570\u5b57\uff1a0\u30010.5\u30011\u30012\u30013\u30015\u30018\u300120\u300140\u3001\uff1f\u3001\u221e\u3002\u6bcf\u526f\u724c\u5305\u542b\u56db\u7ec4\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6590\u6ce2\u90a3\u5951\u6570\u5217\uff0c\u53ef\u4f9b\u6700\u591a\u56db\u540d\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u7fa4\u4f53\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0e\u4e2a\u4f53\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027<\/h3>\n

\u4e00\u9879\u5173\u4e8e\u8f6f\u4ef6\u9879\u76ee\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u4e2a\u4f53\u4e0e\u7fa4\u4f53\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u4f30\u7b97\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u540c\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u768420\u540d\u8f6f\u4ef6\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u5206\u522b\u4f30\u7b97\u5b9e\u73b0\u540c\u4e00\u8f6f\u4ef6\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u9700\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u3002\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u80cc\u666f\u548c\u89d2\u8272<\/a>\u5404\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u4e14\u8be5\u8f6f\u4ef6\u9879\u76ee\u6b64\u524d\u5df2\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fc7\u3002\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u88ab\u5206\u6210\u4e94\u4e2a\u5c0f\u7ec4\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5c0f\u7ec4\u8ba8\u8bba\u5e76\u6574\u5408\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u5c0f\u7ec4\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u6bd4\u4e2a\u4f53\u4f30\u7b97\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u73a9\u8ba1\u5212\u6251\u514b\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4<\/h3>\n
    \n
  1. \u6bcf\u4f4d\u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u4f1a\u6536\u5230\u4e00\u7ec4\u5361\u7247\uff0c\u4e0a\u9762\u5199\u7740\uff1a0\u30010.5\u30011\u30012\u30013\u30015\u30018\u300113\u300120\u300140\u3001\uff1f\u3001\u221e\u2014\u2014\u517112\u5f20\u5361\u7247\u3002<\/li>\n
  2. \u7531\u4ea7\u54c1\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba<\/a>\u5411\u56e2\u961f\u6717\u8bfb\u7528\u6237\u6545\u4e8b\u6216\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002<\/li>\n
  3. \u56e2\u961f\u6210\u5458\u8ba8\u8bba\u8be5\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u5411\u4ea7\u54c1\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u63d0\u95ee\u3002<\/li>\n
  4. \u8ba8\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u6bcf\u4f4d\u6210\u5458\u9009\u62e9\u4e00\u5f20\u4ee3\u8868\u81ea\u5df1\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u5361\u7247\uff0c\u5e76\u540c\u65f6\u5c55\u793a\u3002<\/li>\n
  5. \u5982\u679c\u4f30\u7b97\u7ed3\u679c\u5dee\u5f02\u663e\u8457\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u5c06\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba8\u8bba\uff1a\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\uff1f\u9057\u6f0f\u4e86\u54ea\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\uff1f\u6700\u9ad8\u6216\u6700\u4f4e\u4f30\u7b97\u8005\u5e94\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f6e\u6295\u7968\u524d\u8bf4\u660e\u5176\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/li>\n
  6. \u8ba8\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u53ef\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f6e\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/li>\n
  7. \u8fd4\u56de\u7b2c2\u6b65\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f85\u529e\u4e8b\u9879\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n
    \n

    \u4f30\u7b97\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u65f6\u95f4\u2014\u2014\u4f7f\u7528\u76f8\u5bf9\u4f30\u7b97\u4ee3\u66ff\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f30\u7b97<\/h2>\n

    \u4f30\u7b97\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6709\u6839\u636e\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5229\u7528\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u7528\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u548c\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6765\u4f30\u7b97\u6240\u9700\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u4e0e\u5176\u5b64\u7acb\u5730\u8bc4\u4f30\u6bcf\u4e2a\u65b0\u5de5\u4f5c\u9879\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u5c06\u5176\u4e0e\u4e4b\u524d\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff1f\u4eba\u7c7b\u5728\u5bf9\u6bd4\u76f8\u4f3c\u5927\u5c0f\u7684\u7269\u4f53\u65f6\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u597d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u51ed\u7a7a\u731c\u6d4b\u7edd\u5bf9\u5927\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \n

    \u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u5b83\u662f\u5426\u63a5\u8fd1\u8fd9\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u5c0f\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff1f\u8fd8\u662f\u66f4\u50cf\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e2d\u7b49\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff1f\u6216\u8005\u771f\u7684\u50cf\u6211\u4eec\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u90a3\u4e2a\u5927\u9879\u76ee\uff1f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4f30\u7b97\u4e0d\u4ec5\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u4f30\u7b97\u6240\u82b1\u8d39\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd8\u663e\u8457\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \n

    \u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5927\u8111\u4e0d\u64c5\u957f\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f30\u7b97\u2014\u2014\u6211\u4eec\u603b\u662f\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u65b0\u4e8b\u7269\u4e0e\u5df2\u77e5\u7684\u4e8b\u7269\u8fdb\u884c\u5173\u8054\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \"Story<\/div>\n
    \n

    \u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u4f30\u7b97<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \n

    \u4f30\u7b97\u901f\u5ea6\u2014\u2014\u8bb0\u5f55\u5e76\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bcf\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u5e73\u5747\u503c<\/h2>\n

    \u56e2\u961f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6<\/a>\u662f\u6307\u5728\u4e00\u6b21\u51b2\u523a\u4e2d\u5b9e\u9645\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9<\/a>\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6548\u7387\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6ca1\u6709\u5148\u524d\u901f\u5ea6\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u65b0\u9879\u76ee\u6216\u65b0\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c1\u52302\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u6765\u6d4b\u91cf\u5e76\u786e\u5b9a\u521d\u59cb\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u51b2\u523a\u6267\u884c\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u8bb0\u5f55\u6bcf\u6b21\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u672a\u6765\u89c4\u5212\u3002Scrum\u56e2\u961f<\/a>\u5b9e\u9645\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6ca1\u6709\u5148\u524d\u901f\u5ea6\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u65b0\u9879\u76ee\u6216\u65b0\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c1\u52302\u4e2a\u51b2\u523a\u6765\u6d4b\u91cf\u5e76\u786e\u5b9a\u521d\u59cb\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u51b2\u523a\u6267\u884c\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u8bb0\u5f55\u6bcf\u6b21\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u672a\u6765\u89c4\u5212\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \"Estimating<\/div>\n
    \n

    \u4f30\u7b97\u7528\u6237\u6545\u4e8b\u901f\u5ea6<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \n

    \u6211\u4eec\u4f30\u7b97\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f85\u529e\u5217\u8868\u4e2d\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u70b9\u603b\u6570\u3002\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f85\u529e\u5217\u8868<\/a>\u4e86\u89e3\u6bcf\u6b21\u51b2\u523a\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u5b8c\u6210\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u9700\u7684\u51b2\u523a\u6b21\u6570\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u800c\u4f30\u7b97\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5982\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u56fe\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

    \"Scrum<\/div>\n
    \n

    Scrum\u9879\u76ee\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u4f30\u7b97<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Agile teams use collective estimation methods to estimate their workload. Group estimation usually uses planning poker as a tool, and teams perform group estimation by playing estimation games. Planning poker is considered to be the most effective and interesting technique for workload estimation in agility. 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