{"id":10889,"date":"2026-03-06T02:24:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T18:24:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/vn\/agile-estimation-story-points-velocity\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T02:24:13","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T18:24:13","slug":"agile-estimation-story-points-velocity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/vn\/agile-estimation-story-points-velocity\/","title":{"rendered":"\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Agile l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p>D\u00f9 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9i \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m hay d\u1ef1 \u00e1n, ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi: \u201cCh\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh v\u00e0o l\u00fac n\u00e0o?\u201d hay \u201cCh\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh?\u201d Gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 trong c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p>\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Agile c\u00f3 ba \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m sau:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<h2 id=\"team-collaborative-estimation\">\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9i<\/h2>\n<p>Trong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/scrum-in-3-minutes\/\">Scrum<\/a>ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, \u0111\u1ed9i chia s\u1ebb tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m v\u00e0 c\u00f9ng nhau l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed7i <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-sprint-in-scrum\/\">Sprint<\/a>. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9i Agile s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c. \u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng Planning Poker nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5, n\u01a1i \u0111\u1ed9i ch\u01a1i m\u1ed9t tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f9ng nhau. Planning Poker \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c trong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-agile-software-development\/\">Agile<\/a>ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. N\u00f3 bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 d\u00e3y Fibonacci: 0, 0,5, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 20, 40, ?, \u221e. M\u1ed7i b\u1ed9 b\u00e0i bao g\u1ed3m b\u1ed1n b\u1ed9 c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 Fibonacci n\u00e0y, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng b\u1edfi t\u1ed1i \u0111a b\u1ed1n th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<h3 id=\"accuracy-of-group-vs-individual-estimation\">\u0110\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u00f3m so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n<\/h3>\n<p>M\u1ed9t nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c gi\u1eefa c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 nh\u00f3m trong m\u1ed9t th\u00ed nghi\u1ec7m d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng 20 chuy\u00ean gia ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m t\u1eeb c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ty \u0111\u00e3 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ri\u00eang l\u1ebb n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m. C\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia c\u00f3 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-are-the-three-scrum-roles\/\">vai tr\u00f2<\/a>, v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n khai tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Sau \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chia th\u00e0nh n\u0103m nh\u00f3m. M\u1ed7i nh\u00f3m th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u00e0 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng duy nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p>K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3: C\u00e1c \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn nh\u00f3m ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<h3 id=\"steps-for-playing-planning-poker\">C\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u01a1i Planning Poker<\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li>M\u1ed7i th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9i nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t b\u1ed9 b\u00e0i g\u1ed3m: 0, 0,5, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20, 40, ?, \u221e \u2014 t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 12 l\u00e1 b\u00e0i.<\/li>\n<li>Ng\u01b0\u1eddi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-project-owner-role-in-scrum\/\">Product Owner<\/a>\u0111\u1ecdc m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng ho\u1eb7c t\u00ednh n\u0103ng cho \u0111\u1ed9i.<\/li>\n<li>C\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh n\u0103ng v\u00e0 h\u1ecfi Product Owner n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/li>\n<li>Sau khi th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn, m\u1ed7i th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean ch\u1ecdn m\u1ed9t l\u00e1 b\u00e0i \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng khai c\u00f9ng l\u00fac.<\/li>\n<li>N\u1ebfu c\u00e1c \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, \u0111\u1ed9i s\u1ebd th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn: Ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng? Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0o \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb b\u1ecf s\u00f3t? Ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao nh\u1ea5t ho\u1eb7c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t n\u00ean gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch l\u00fd do tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi v\u00f2ng b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp theo di\u1ec5n ra.<\/li>\n<li>Sau khi th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn, \u0111\u1ed9i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u00eam m\u1ed9t v\u00f2ng n\u1eefa cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed3ng thu\u1eadn.<\/li>\n<li>Quay l\u1ea1i b\u01b0\u1edbc 2 v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1ee5c ti\u1ebfp theo trong danh s\u00e1ch c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<h2 id=\"estimating-size-not-time-using-relative-estimation\">\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i th\u1eddi gian \u2014 S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i thay v\u00ec \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i<\/h2>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ecfng \u0111o\u00e1n c\u00f3 c\u0103n c\u1ee9. Ch\u00fang ta s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1eddi gian c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft. Thay v\u00ec \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u1eebng c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c m\u1edbi m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t, t\u1ea1i sao kh\u00f4ng so s\u00e1nh n\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3? Con ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1ecfi h\u01a1n trong vi\u1ec7c so s\u00e1nh c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 thay v\u00ec \u0111o\u00e1n k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p>V\u00ed d\u1ee5: N\u00f3 c\u00f3 g\u1ea7n gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi m\u00f3n \u0111\u1ed3 r\u1ea5t nh\u1ecf n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng? Hay gi\u1ed1ng h\u01a1n v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 \u00e1n v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i n\u00e0y? Hay th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u1edbn, nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc? \u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 gi\u1ea3m th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0nh cho vi\u1ec7c \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p>N\u00e3o b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ecfi trong vi\u1ec7c \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i \u2014 ch\u00fang ta lu\u00f4n so s\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 m\u1edbi c\u1ea7n \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\"><img alt=\"Story Point Estimation\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/story-point-estimation.png\"\/><\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p><strong>\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0110i\u1ec3m C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<h2 id=\"estimating-velocity-record-and-average-team-velocity-per-sprint\">\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 \u2014 Ghi nh\u1eadn v\u00e0 t\u00ednh trung b\u00ecnh T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0110\u1ed9i trong m\u1ed7i Sprint<\/h2>\n<p>T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9i <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-scrum-velocity\/\">t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9<\/a> l\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-story-point-in-agile\/\">\u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n<\/a> m\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-scrum-team\/\">\u0111\u1ed9i Scrum<\/a>th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh trong m\u1ed9t Sprint. T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9i cho b\u1ea1n bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ed9i l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c nhanh \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ed9i m\u1edbi (kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3), ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n 1\u20132 Sprint \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 x\u00e1c l\u1eadp t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ban \u0111\u1ea7u. Trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n Sprint, ch\u00fang ta ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed9i trong m\u1ed7i Sprint \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch cho t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\"><img alt=\"Estimating User Story Velocity\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/estimate-user-story-velocity.png\"\/><\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p><strong>\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n Ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p>Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n trong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.visual-paradigm.com\/scrum\/what-is-product-backlog-in-scrum\/\">Danh s\u00e1ch S\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m<\/a>. Bi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 trung b\u00ecnh m\u1ed7i Sprint, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n s\u1ed1 Sprint c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u2014 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u1eddi gian ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh d\u1ef1 \u00e1n. Nh\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb trong h\u00ecnh b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\"><img alt=\"Scrum Project Duration Estimation\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.archimetric.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/scrum-project-duration-estimation.png\"\/><\/div>\n<div class=\"cl-preview-section\">\n<p><strong>\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Th\u1eddi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng D\u1ef1 \u00e1n Scrum<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Agile teams use collective estimation methods to estimate their workload. Group estimation usually uses planning poker as a tool, and teams perform group estimation by playing estimation games. Planning poker is considered to be the most effective and interesting technique for workload estimation in agility. (\u654f\u6377\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u5de5\u4f5c\u91cf\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u96c6\u4f53\u4f30\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u96c6\u4f53\u4f30\u7b97\u901a\u5e38\u4f7f\u7528\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u56e2\u961f\u901a\u8fc7\u73a9\u4f30\u8ba1\u6e38\u620f\u8fdb\u884c\u96c6\u4f53\u4f30\u7b97\u3002\u89c4\u5212\u6251\u514b\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u5728\u654f\u6377\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u5de5\u4f5c\u8d1f\u8377\u4f30\u7b97\u7684\u6700\u6709\u6548\u548c\u6700\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u6280\u672f\u3002)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3479,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_yoast_wpseo_title":"\u01af\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Agile: C\u00e1ch \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0110i\u1ec3m C\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n v\u00e0 T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0110\u1ed9i","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"H\u1ecdc c\u00e1ch \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Agile ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n, Poker L\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ed9i. 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